Indonesia has a new President. Joko Widodo has been elected new President by narrow margin. The election commission finally announced the long waited results at 4.30pm today.
The other candidate, Prabowo Subianto, instead of admitting defeat, decided to pull out from the election in the last hours prior to the announcement. I'm not quite sure what does it mean. Mr. Subianto said his team has substantial evidences of fraud and will take them to the constitutional court (MK). I guess it will be a long road to challenge the result. It seems that the real count result is irrevocable.
Yesterday, the incumbent President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, invited both candidates for a dinner at the Presidential palace. He asked commitment from both candidates to maintain order, whatever the results would be.
Congratulations to Mr. Joko Widodo.
Tuesday, 22 July 2014
Wednesday, 16 July 2014
Election 2014 - Questioning Quick Count
Out of 11 survey agencies, 7 agencies counted Jokowi-JK as winners while the other 4 agencies counted Prabowo-Hatta. All agencies agrees, however, that the differences are very slim. Somewhere between 3 percent to 5 percent. It's almost a draw.
In a close knit situation like this, it is difficult to determine the result of election commission's real count due on 22 July 2014. Here is some numbers to ponder:
Number of registered voters (DPT): 190,307,134 voters
Number of polling places (TPS): 478,685 places
Average number of DPT per TPS : 400 DPT
Maximum allowable DPT per TPS: 800 DPT
Number of samples obtained by Survey agencies: 2,000 to 5,000 TPS only (+/- 1%), expectedly those TPS with the highest number of DPTs.
It means that there are still around 470,000 TPS (around 99%) unaccounted in their quick count.
It is best to wait until the election commission completes their ballot count on 22 July 2014.
In a close knit situation like this, it is difficult to determine the result of election commission's real count due on 22 July 2014. Here is some numbers to ponder:
Number of registered voters (DPT): 190,307,134 voters
Number of polling places (TPS): 478,685 places
Average number of DPT per TPS : 400 DPT
Maximum allowable DPT per TPS: 800 DPT
Number of samples obtained by Survey agencies: 2,000 to 5,000 TPS only (+/- 1%), expectedly those TPS with the highest number of DPTs.
It means that there are still around 470,000 TPS (around 99%) unaccounted in their quick count.
It is best to wait until the election commission completes their ballot count on 22 July 2014.
Saturday, 12 July 2014
Election 2014 - The Day After
Since the day after the election day, the stock index has passed 5,000 level. A newspaper headline calls it "Jokowi's effect", citing an assumption of investor's confidence in the election result. Jokowi is one of the two Presidential cadidates who had been declared winner by 7 survey agencies, out of 11 survey agencies conducting quick count. However, since the election commission has not completed the ballot count, one cannot help to think that the paper has been taking side. Arguably, I guess it is okay to take side this time, even for the press who supposed to be neutral. It gives more color to the situation.
I have a different view, though. And I guess it is okay, too. In my opinion, investors do not care much about who wins the election. Investors care more on the political stability after the election. Jokowi or Prabowo, if the day after the country goes into turmoil, investors will be very cautious in their investments. Luckily, it went peaceful. Either because Indonesians have become more politically mature, or simply because those who usually staging protests have now gone mudik for Eid Al Fitri celebration. I can't help to suspect the later, though.
Thursday, 10 July 2014
Election 2014 - Quick Count Results
Indonesians have voted, but the election is hardly over. It will take days to collect ballots from more than 15,000 islands throughout the nation. Some survey agencies have issued what they refer as "quick count" results.
Here are the quick count results as publsihed by their respective survey agency:
01. Populi Center 49,05 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 50,95 (Jokowi/JK)
02. CSIS 48,1 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 51,9 (Jokowi/JK)
03. Litbang Kompas 47,66 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 52,33 (Jokowi/JK)
04. Indikator Politik Indonesia 47,05 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 52,95 (Jokowi/JK)
05. Lingkaran Survei Indonesia 46,43 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 53,37 (Jokowi/JK)
06. Radio Republik Indonesia 47,32 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 52,68 (Jokowi/JK)
07. Saiful Mujani Research Center 47,09 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 52,91 (Jokowi/JK)
08. Puskaptis 52,05 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 47,95 (Jokowi/JK)
09. Indonesia Research Center 51,11 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 48,89 (Jokowi/JK)
10. Lembaga Survei Nasional 50,56 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 49,94 (Jokowi/JK)
11. Jaringan Suara Indonesia 50,13 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 49,87 (Jokowi/JK)
So, who wins the 2014 presidential election? Prabowo - Hatta or Jokowi - Jusuf Kala? Let's wait until the election commission (KPU) completes their "real count" on 22 July 2014.
Presidential candidates Mr. Prabowo Subianto dan Mr. Joko Widodo (Jokowi) |
Here are the quick count results as publsihed by their respective survey agency:
01. Populi Center 49,05 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 50,95 (Jokowi/JK)
02. CSIS 48,1 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 51,9 (Jokowi/JK)
03. Litbang Kompas 47,66 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 52,33 (Jokowi/JK)
04. Indikator Politik Indonesia 47,05 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 52,95 (Jokowi/JK)
05. Lingkaran Survei Indonesia 46,43 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 53,37 (Jokowi/JK)
06. Radio Republik Indonesia 47,32 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 52,68 (Jokowi/JK)
07. Saiful Mujani Research Center 47,09 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 52,91 (Jokowi/JK)
08. Puskaptis 52,05 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 47,95 (Jokowi/JK)
09. Indonesia Research Center 51,11 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 48,89 (Jokowi/JK)
10. Lembaga Survei Nasional 50,56 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 49,94 (Jokowi/JK)
11. Jaringan Suara Indonesia 50,13 (Prabowo/Hatta) - 49,87 (Jokowi/JK)
So, who wins the 2014 presidential election? Prabowo - Hatta or Jokowi - Jusuf Kala? Let's wait until the election commission (KPU) completes their "real count" on 22 July 2014.
Saturday, 21 June 2014
Lapak: kampung pemulung Karang Pola, Pasar Minggu
Kali ini kami mengunjungi kampung pemulung Karang Pola di Pasar Minggu, Jakarta Selatan. Tempat ini lebih dikenal oleh penduduk sekitar sebagai Lapak. Ada banyak keluarga pemulung yang tinggal di wilayah ini. Tujuan kami hari ini adalah untuk mengunjungi anak-anak para pemulung, berbagi cerita dan mengajarkan mereka untuk mengetahui manfaat menabung.
Membagikan celengan kepada anak-anak kurang mampu dan mengajarkan kepada mereka untuk menabung terdengar sulit untuk dipahami. Pertanyaan sederhana, dari mana mereka memperoleh uang untuk ditabung jika mereka sendiri masih kekurangan secara finansial. Namun konsep menabung harus diperkenalkan kepada anak-anak sejak dini. Mereka harus paham pentingnya menabung. Mudah-mudahan hari ini kami meninggalkan ilmu yang baik dan bermanfaat bagi masa depan anak-anak.
Acara ini diselenggarakan dengan dana yang dikumpulkan secara urunan dari para relawan. Walaupun dana yang terkumpul tidaklah banyak, tapi kami bisa berbagi ilmu yang mudah-mudahan dapat bermanfaat bagi anak-anak keluarga pemulung Karang Pola di kemudian hari.
Gang menuju ke kampung pemulung Karang Pola |
Diperlukan waktu sekitar 5-10 menit berjalan menyusuri perkampungan padat untuk sampai di kampung pemulung Karang Pola ("Lapak"). Harus ekstra hati-hati menghindari "ranjau" kotoran ayam di sepanjang gang.
Rumah-rumah sederhana keluarga pemulung Karang Pola |
Rumah-rumah sederhana keluarga pemulung dibangun dari kayu-kayu bekas yang ditutup dengan seng-seng yang sudah berkarat. Seng-seng ini menyebabkan udara yang sangat panas bagi penghuninya di siang hari, dan menyebabkan suara yang sangat keras di saat hujan turun.
Tumpukan karung di kampung pemulung Karang Pola |
Lingkungan yang kurang bersih dapat menimbulkan berbagai komplikasi kesehatan bagi penduduk di sekitarnya. Terutama bagi anak-anak yang lebih rentan terhadap berbagai macam penyakit.
Seorang pemulung menarik gerobaknya |
Pemulung mengumpulkan kertas-kertas, botol-botol plastik bekas atau gelas-gelas plastik bekas, dan menjualnya kembali untuk di daur ulang menjadi produk lain. Tergantung dari keberhasilan mereka mengumpulkan barang-barang bekas dan menjualnya kembali, seorang pemulung bisa membawa pulang keuntungan rata-rata 30 ribu hingga 80 ribu sehari.
Melihat pekerjaannya, sebetulnya pemulung juga berjasa terhadap kelestarian lingkungan. Secara nyata mereka bergantung hidup dari mendaur ulang sampah, dimana banyak orang bahkan tidak perduli sama sekali terhadap pentingnya memisahkan antara sampah organik dan sampah yang dapat didaur ulang.
Para relawan menyapa anak-anak keluarga pemulung |
Beberapa anggota masyarakat yang perduli, menyelenggarakan sekolah informal bagi anak-anak keluarga pemulung. Walau demikian, pendidikan anak-anak ini masih jauh tertinggal jika dibandingkan dengan anak-anak seumur mereka dari kalangan keluarga yang lebih beruntung. Bisa dipahami, karena pendidikan membutuhkan biaya.
Apa yang kami lakukan hari ini tidak ditujukan untuk mengisi kekosongan itu. Tetapi kami berniat untuk berbagi ilmu dasar keuangan kepada anak-anak, yaitu pentingnya menabung. Selain itu, untuk berbagi keceriaan dengan menghibur para generasi masa depan Indonesia yang hidup di Lapak ini.
Anak-anak Sekolah Dasar menyimak penjelasan relawan |
Rekan relawan tampak menikmati kebersamaan |
Dua relawan di tengah anak-anak yang antusias |
Dua orang relawan memberikan penjelasan |
Dua anak menyimak penjelasan dari kakak relawan |
Seorang relawan menyimak penjelasan ulang seorang anak |
Anak-anak riang bernyanyi bersama |
Dua relawan menunjukkan celengan yang dibagikan |
Dua orang anak memegang celengan yang dibagikan |
Relawan bersiap untuk membagikan makan siang |
Wednesday, 21 May 2014
Hello World
This is my first blog post. A little late comer to the blogging world. Hoping to contribute to the hype.
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